economy

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-05-31 Volume$96,839 Open Interest$5,515
YES
67¢
Implied probability: 67.0%
NO
33¢
Implied probability: 33.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 67¢ · High 67¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
67¢
NO Price
33¢
Total Volume
$96,839
Open Interest
$5,515
Expiration
2026-05-31
Days Left
38
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBe

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 67¢ means the market is pricing in a 67.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($96,839) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($5,515) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? 15¢ $9,620,811
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? $999,565
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? $996,358
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBe

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-05-31, 38 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 67¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 33¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 67¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 67.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $96,839 in total traded volume and $5,515 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-23. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.