economy

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 83 and 84 million views on week 1?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-13 Volume$9,912 Open Interest$3,554
YES
98¢
Implied probability: 98.8%
NO
Implied probability: 1.2%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 98¢ · High 98¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
98¢
NO Price
Total Volume
$9,912
Open Interest
$3,554
Expiration
2026-09-13
Days Left
1
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "I Survived

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 98¢ means the market is pricing in a 98.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,912) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,554) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "I Survived

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-13, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 98¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 1¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 98¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 98.8% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,912 in total traded volume and $3,554 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-12. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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