Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
What resolves this contract
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's officia
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 80¢ means the market is pricing in a 80.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,526) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,051) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,493,477 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | 5¢ | $998,834 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 70¢ | $995,516 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's officia
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 52 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 80¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 20¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 80¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 80.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,526 in total traded volume and $3,051 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.