Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election),
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 92¢ means the market is pricing in a 92.9% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,865) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($10,109) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | 94¢ | $99,941 |
| Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? | 13¢ | $99,595 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | 97¢ | $99,354 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election),
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-27, 41 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 92¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 7¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 92¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 92.9% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,865 in total traded volume and $10,109 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.