Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to how much "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The
Reading the odds on this market
At 28.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 28.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 4.
$10 on YES buys about 35 contracts that pay $35.09 if it happens; $10 on NO at 71.5¢ buys about 14.0 that pay $13.99 if it does not.
$9,893 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $1,458 still riding on the outcome, making it number 78 by volume of the 215 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 28¢ means the market is pricing in a 28.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,893) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,458) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | 8¢ | $9,818 |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026? | 3¢ | $9,802 |
| Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? | 2¢ | $9,777 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to how much "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-27, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 28¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 72¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 28¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 28.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,893 in total traded volume and $1,458 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.