Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabian Ruiz officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reading the odds on this market
At 20.1¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 20.1% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 5.
$10 on YES buys about 50 contracts that pay $49.75 if it happens; $10 on NO at 79.9¢ buys about 12.5 that pay $12.52 if it does not.
$9,947 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $2,635 still riding on the outcome, making it number 76 by volume of the 217 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 20¢ means the market is pricing in a 20.1% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,947) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,635) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | 22¢ | $97,759 |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? | 1¢ | $96,812 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabian Ruiz officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 92 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 20¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 80¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 20¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 20.1% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,947 in total traded volume and $2,635 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.