Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be offici
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 83¢ means the market is pricing in a 83.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,566) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($6,122) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 10¢ | $9,525,639 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 4¢ | $986,290 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 38¢ | $974,378 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be offici
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-05-12, 8 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 83¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 17¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 83¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 83.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,566 in total traded volume and $6,122 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.