economy

Will "Choosin Texas - Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-12-31 Volume$9,642 Open Interest$1,837
YES
96¢
Implied probability: 96.8%
NO
Implied probability: 3.2%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 96¢ · High 96¢ · Δ +0.1pp
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YES Price
96¢
NO Price
Total Volume
$9,642
Open Interest
$1,837
Expiration
2026-12-31
Days Left
110
About this market

What resolves this contract

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song in the US of 2026. If multiple songs tie for top song in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:5

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 96¢ means the market is pricing in a 96.8% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,642) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,837) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song in the US of 2026. If multiple songs tie for top song in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:5

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 110 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 96¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 3¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 96¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 96.8% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,642 in total traded volume and $1,837 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-12. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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