Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 74¢ means the market is pricing in a 74.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,572) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($14,406) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | 13¢ | $9,811,238 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,701,562 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 2¢ | $997,961 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-05-14, 4 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 74¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 26¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 74¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 74.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,572 in total traded volume and $14,406 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.