Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 41¢ means the market is pricing in a 41.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,854) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,077) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price range on May 6, 2026: $90,250 or above | 1¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin price range on May 6, 2026: $70,749.99 or below | 1¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin price range on May 6, 2026: $90,000 to 90,249.99 | 1¢ | $0 |
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | 34¢ | $963,195 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | 50¢ | $98,895 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May? | 21¢ | $98,214 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 241 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 41¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 58¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 41¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 41.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,854 in total traded volume and $3,077 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.