Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reading the odds on this market
At 88.6¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 88.6% chance this happens, roughly 7.8 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 11 contracts that pay $11.29 if it happens; $10 on NO at 11.4¢ buys about 87.7 that pay $87.72 if it does not.
The favoured side, YES, returns 12.9% if it wins, with the money locked up for 26 days until October 27, 2026; that works out to about 447.0% a year.
$9,708 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $3,123 still riding on the outcome, making it number 147 by volume of the 241 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 88¢ means the market is pricing in a 88.6% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,708) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,123) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | 99¢ | $999,556 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | 22¢ | $97,442 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-27, 26 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 88¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 11¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 88¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 88.6% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,708 in total traded volume and $3,123 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.