Will Aleksandar Vučić - United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
What resolves this contract
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the lis
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 60¢ means the market is pricing in a 60.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,607) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($24,144) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | 20¢ | $967,629 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | 98¢ | $960,799 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | 4¢ | $99,918 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the lis
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-25, 32 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 60¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 40¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 60¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 60.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,607 in total traded volume and $24,144 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.