Will “Safe” by Cardi B featuring Kehlani win Best Hip-Hop at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
What resolves this contract
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title c
Reading the odds on this market
At 71.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 71.0% chance this happens, roughly 2.4 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 14 contracts that pay $14.08 if it happens; $10 on NO at 29.0¢ buys about 34.5 that pay $34.48 if it does not.
$9,942 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $491 still riding on the outcome, making it number 69 by volume of the 200 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 71¢ means the market is pricing in a 71.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,942) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($491) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | 1¢ | $99,549 |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026? | 5¢ | $9,911 |
| Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | 8¢ | $9,818 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Hip-Hop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title c
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-28, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 71¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 29¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 71¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 71.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,942 in total traded volume and $491 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.