Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 24 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Germany". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The
Reading the odds on this market
At 2.4¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 2.4% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 43.
$10 on YES buys about 426 contracts that pay $425.53 if it happens; $10 on NO at 97.7¢ buys about 10.2 that pay $10.24 if it does not.
$9,637 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $43,890 still riding on the outcome, making it number 152 by volume of the 205 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 2¢ means the market is pricing in a 2.4% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,637) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($43,890) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $988,532 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,529 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | 38¢ | $98,449 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 24 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Germany". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-24. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 2¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 98¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 2¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 2.4% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,637 in total traded volume and $43,890 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.