Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official informa
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 62¢ means the market is pricing in a 62.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,741) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($315) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | 13¢ | $9,992,045 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,977,131 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,895,303 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official informa
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 230 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 62¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 38¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 62¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 62.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,741 in total traded volume and $315 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.