Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reading the odds on this market
At 29.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 29.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.
$10 on YES buys about 34 contracts that pay $34.48 if it happens; $10 on NO at 71.0¢ buys about 14.1 that pay $14.08 if it does not.
Over the last 31 daily readings the YES price barely moved, trading between 9.5¢ and 29.5¢.
$9,834 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $66 still riding on the outcome, making it number 104 by volume of the 221 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 28¢ means the market is pricing in a 29.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,834) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($66) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | 15¢ | $97,927 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | 1¢ | $97,454 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET: If the Tokyo Yakult Swallows win, the market will resolve to "Tokyo Yakult Swallows". If the Hiroshima Carp win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Carp". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-11, 9 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 28¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 71¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 28¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 29.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,834 in total traded volume and $66 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.