Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 24 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB
Reading the odds on this market
At 26.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 26.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 4.
$10 on YES buys about 38 contracts that pay $38.46 if it happens; $10 on NO at 74.0¢ buys about 13.5 that pay $13.51 if it does not.
$9,896 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $8,474 still riding on the outcome, making it number 63 by volume of the 210 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 26¢ means the market is pricing in a 26.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,896) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($8,474) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,529 |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? | 2¢ | $98,521 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Athletics, scheduled for September 24 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-25. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 26¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 74¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 26¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 26.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,896 in total traded volume and $8,474 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.