Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 25 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check t
Reading the odds on this market
At 65.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 65.5% chance this happens, roughly 1.9 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 15 contracts that pay $15.27 if it happens; $10 on NO at 34.5¢ buys about 29.0 that pay $28.99 if it does not.
$9,735 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $142 still riding on the outcome, making it number 124 by volume of the 220 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 65¢ means the market is pricing in a 65.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,735) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($142) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,529 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3¢ | $977,951 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 25 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "New York Yankees". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check t
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-25. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 65¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 34¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 65¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 65.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,735 in total traded volume and $142 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.