economy

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-05-08 Volume$96,022 Open Interest$396,951
YES
37¢
Implied probability: 37.5%
NO
62¢
Implied probability: 62.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 37¢ · High 37¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
37¢
NO Price
62¢
Total Volume
$96,022
Open Interest
$396,951
Expiration
2026-05-08
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for May 1 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the gove

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 37¢ means the market is pricing in a 37.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($96,022) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($396,951) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will it **rain** in New York City on Friday: Rain in NYC 15¢ $2,553
Will it **rain** in New York City on Saturday: Rain in NYC 48¢ $259
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for May 1 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the gove

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-05-08, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 37¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 62¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 37¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 37.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $96,022 in total traded volume and $396,951 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-05-01. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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