economy

LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-12-31 Volume$995,387 Open Interest$17,238
YES
71¢
Implied probability: 71.0%
NO
28¢
Implied probability: 29.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 71¢ · High 71¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
71¢
NO Price
28¢
Total Volume
$995,387
Open Interest
$17,238
Expiration
2026-12-31
Days Left
112
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the LAPTOP token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 71¢ means the market is pricing in a 71.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($995,387) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($17,238) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the LAPTOP token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 112 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 71¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 29¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 71¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 71.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $995,387 in total traded volume and $17,238 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-10. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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