Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Sep 16, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,625 to 7,649.9999
What resolves this contract
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on September 16, 2026 is between 7625-7649.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 12¢ means the market is pricing in a 12.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($0) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($0) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 95¢ | $9,756,180 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 3¢ | $993,645 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | 91¢ | $984,467 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on September 16, 2026 is between 7625-7649.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-16. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 12¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 88¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 12¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 12.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $0 in total traded volume and $0 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.