Will the S&P 500 be between 7050 and 7074.9999 on Apr 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,050 to 7,074.9999
What resolves this contract
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on April 21, 2026 is between 7050-7074.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 26¢ means the market is pricing in a 26.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($109) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($107) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | 15¢ | $9,601,742 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 10¢ | $989,614 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | 1¢ | $987,410 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on April 21, 2026 is between 7050-7074.9999, then the market resolves to Yes.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-04-21. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 26¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 74¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 26¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 26.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $109 in total traded volume and $107 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.