M25 Sabadell: Lilian Marmousez vs Sander Jong
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not comp
Reading the odds on this market
At 1.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 1.0% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 100.
$10 on YES buys about 1,000 contracts that pay $1,000.00 if it happens; $10 on NO at 99.0¢ buys about 10.1 that pay $10.10 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 1.0% if it wins, with the money locked up for 7 days until October 3, 2026; that works out to about 68.9% a year.
$9,816 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $100,628 still riding on the outcome, making it number 93 by volume of the 199 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 1¢ means the market is pricing in a 1.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,816) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($100,628) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,965 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3¢ | $978,242 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the tennis match between Lilian Marmousez and Sander Jong in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Sander Jong. This market will resolve to 'Sander Jong' if Sander Jong advances against Lilian Marmousez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not comp
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-03, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 99¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,816 in total traded volume and $100,628 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.