sports

M25 Sabadell: Gerard Campana Lee vs Ivan Gakhov

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-03 Volume$9,653 Open Interest$72,668
YES
99¢
Implied probability: 99.0%
NO
0¢
Implied probability: 0.1%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 99¢ · High 99¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
99¢
NO Price
0¢
Total Volume
$9,653
Open Interest
$72,668
Expiration
2026-10-03
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the tennis match between Gerard Campana Lee and Ivan Gakhov in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Ivan Gakhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gakhov' if Ivan Gakhov advances against Gerard Campana Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is

Reading the odds on this market

At 99.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 99.0% chance this happens, roughly 99.0 to 1 in favour.

$10 on YES buys about 10 contracts that pay $10.10 if it happens; $10 on NO at 1.0¢ buys about 1,000.0 that pay $1,000.00 if it does not.

The favoured side, YES, returns 1.0% if it wins, with the money locked up for 7 days until October 3, 2026; that works out to about 68.9% a year.

$9,653 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $72,668 still riding on the outcome, making it number 149 by volume of the 199 markets we track.

Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 99¢ means the market is pricing in a 99.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,653) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($72,668) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the tennis match between Gerard Campana Lee and Ivan Gakhov in the M25 Sabadell, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gerard Campana Lee' if Gerard Campana Lee advances against Ivan Gakhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gakhov' if Ivan Gakhov advances against Gerard Campana Lee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-03, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 99¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 1¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 99¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 99.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,653 in total traded volume and $72,668 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-26. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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