Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
What resolves this contract
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the
Reading the odds on this market
At 5.9¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 5.9% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 17.
$10 on YES buys about 168 contracts that pay $168.07 if it happens; $10 on NO at 94.0¢ buys about 10.6 that pay $10.63 if it does not.
The favoured side, NO, returns 6.3% if it wins, with the money locked up for 8 days until October 3, 2026; that works out to about 1542.5% a year.
$9,946 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $5,590 still riding on the outcome, making it number 58 by volume of the 214 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 5¢ means the market is pricing in a 5.9% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,946) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($5,590) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $984,529 |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 3¢ | $976,760 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-03, 8 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 5¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 94¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 5¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 5.9% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,946 in total traded volume and $5,590 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.