Ethereum Up or Down on September 24?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 69¢ means the market is pricing in a 69.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,827) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($27,864) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Ethereum price at Sep 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $1,939.99 or below | 85¢ | $15,640 |
| Ethereum price at Sep 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $3,060 to 3,099.99 | 2¢ | $5,000 |
| Ethereum price at Sep 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT: $3,020 to 3,059.99 | 2¢ | $5,000 |
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | 1¢ | $989,097 |
| Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | 83¢ | $99,852 |
| Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? | 13¢ | $99,475 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-24. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 69¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 31¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 69¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 69.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,827 in total traded volume and $27,864 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.