Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 28?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Reading the odds on this market
At 89.0¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 89.0% chance this happens, roughly 8.1 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 11 contracts that pay $11.24 if it happens; $10 on NO at 11.0¢ buys about 90.9 that pay $90.91 if it does not.
The favoured side, YES, returns 12.4% if it wins, with the money locked up for 3 days until September 28, 2026; that works out to about 143730484.4% a year.
$9,680 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $35,843 still riding on the outcome, making it number 147 by volume of the 220 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 89¢ means the market is pricing in a 89.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,680) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($35,843) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | 8¢ | $978,813 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | 14¢ | $968,212 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? | 1¢ | $99,587 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-28, 3 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 89¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 11¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 89¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 89.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,680 in total traded volume and $35,843 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.