Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
What resolves this contract
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the
Reading the odds on this market
At 38.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 38.5% chance this happens, roughly 1 in 3.
$10 on YES buys about 26 contracts that pay $25.97 if it happens; $10 on NO at 61.5¢ buys about 16.3 that pay $16.26 if it does not.
$9,753 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $16,257 still riding on the outcome, making it number 138 by volume of the 241 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 38¢ means the market is pricing in a 38.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,753) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($16,257) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | 99¢ | $999,556 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | 22¢ | $97,442 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 11, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-11, 10 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 38¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 62¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 38¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 38.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,753 in total traded volume and $16,257 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.