Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at http
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 57¢ means the market is pricing in a 57.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,575) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,391) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 10¢ | $9,525,639 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 4¢ | $986,290 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 38¢ | $974,378 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at http
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-05-05, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 57¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 43¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 57¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 57.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,575 in total traded volume and $1,391 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.