Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Team Falcons and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calend
Reading the odds on this market
At 80.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 80.5% chance this happens, roughly 4.1 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 12 contracts that pay $12.42 if it happens; $10 on NO at 19.5¢ buys about 51.3 that pay $51.28 if it does not.
$3,911,196 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $89,586 still riding on the outcome, making it number 76 by volume of the 223 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 80¢ means the market is pricing in a 80.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($3,911,196) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($89,586) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | 1¢ | $27,031,907 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | 99¢ | $7,806,128 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $6,911,788 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Team Falcons and Natus Vincere in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calend
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-07, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 80¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 19¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 80¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 80.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $3,911,196 in total traded volume and $89,586 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.