economy

Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-08-18 Volume$9,645 Open Interest$7,350
YES
25¢
Implied probability: 25.0%
NO
75¢
Implied probability: 75.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 25¢ · High 25¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
25¢
NO Price
75¢
Total Volume
$9,645
Open Interest
$7,350
Expiration
2026-08-18
Days Left
8
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Rafael Jodar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jodar." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 25¢ means the market is pricing in a 25.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,645) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($7,350) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Rafael Jodar in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Rafael Jodar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Jodar." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-08-18, 8 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 25¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 75¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 25¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 25.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,645 in total traded volume and $7,350 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-10. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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