Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs Fils
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fils” if Arthur Fils wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 55¢ means the market is pricing in a 55.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,838) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($12,084) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 69¢ | $999,708 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 17¢ | $977,562 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | 1¢ | $976,918 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Arthur Fils in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Jodar” if Rafael Jodar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fils” if Arthur Fils wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-18, 8 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 55¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 45¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 55¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 55.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,838 in total traded volume and $12,084 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.