Phan Thiet 4: Blake Ellis vs Hiroki Moriya
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one playe
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 74¢ means the market is pricing in a 74.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($98,530) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($10,671) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 95¢ | $9,673,874 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 3¢ | $993,645 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 5¢ | $982,470 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the tennis match between Blake Ellis and Hiroki Moriya in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Blake Ellis' if Blake Ellis advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Blake Ellis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one playe
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-21, 6 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 74¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 26¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 74¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 74.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $98,530 in total traded volume and $10,671 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.