Buenos Aires 2: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one playe
Reading the odds on this market
At 66.5¢ for YES, traders are pricing about a 66.5% chance this happens, roughly 2.0 to 1 in favour.
$10 on YES buys about 15 contracts that pay $15.04 if it happens; $10 on NO at 33.5¢ buys about 29.9 that pay $29.85 if it does not.
$98,528 has traded on it on Polymarket, with $89,302 still riding on the outcome, making it number 23 by volume of the 202 markets we track.
Payouts are before platform fees; one contract pays $1 if its side wins.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 66¢ means the market is pricing in a 66.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($98,528) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($89,302) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | 2¢ | $996,506 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $989,439 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $985,998 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Facundo Mena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Facundo Mena. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Mena' if Facundo Mena advances against Alex Barrena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one playe
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-04, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 66¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 34¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 66¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 66.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $98,528 in total traded volume and $89,302 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.