Biggest movers · 50 markets

Markets making the biggest moves

Where the price has moved the most since we started tracking. Big moves mean new information hit the market , or that sentiment shifted without much new data.

Market	Platform	YES	Volume	Δ since start
Will there be more than 0 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	7¢	$2	-91.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	33¢	$5,440	-56.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	12¢	$9,578	-51.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	48¢	$4,910	-49.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	41¢	$3,031	-48.0pp
Will there be more than 9 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 8 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 7 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 6 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 4 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 2 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 10 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Paci	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Will there be more than 1 hurricane of category 3 or above in the Central Pacifi	Kalshi	51¢	$0	-47.5pp
Hurupay FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Polymarket	5¢	$9,746	-47.1pp
Will there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 3 or above in the Central Pacif	Kalshi	52¢	$0	-47.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	20¢	$5,401	-39.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	35¢	$6,840	-35.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	28¢	$8,070	-32.0pp
Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?	Polymarket	94¢	$9,763	+29.8pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed'	Kalshi	83¢	$21,213	+29.0pp
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Polymarket	15¢	$97,566	-27.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	53¢	$12,833	-26.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	78¢	$3,316	-21.0pp
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?	Polymarket	14¢	$9,801	-17.5pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed'	Kalshi	61¢	$5,278	-17.0pp
Will above 150000 jobs be added in June 2026: 150,000	Kalshi	32¢	$6,320	+17.0pp
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?	Polymarket	67¢	$9,881	-16.0pp
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?	Polymarket	30¢	$99,050	+13.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be 81-82° on Jun 25, 2026: 81° to 82°	Kalshi	24¢	$2,975	+13.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed'	Kalshi	99¢	$1,682	+13.0pp
Will above 50000 jobs be added in November 2026: 50,000	Kalshi	54¢	$489	-13.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 79-80° on Jun 25, 2026: 79° to 80°	Kalshi	10¢	$14,679	-11.0pp
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed'	Kalshi	99¢	$1,535	+10.0pp
Will above 40000 jobs be added in November 2026: 40,000	Kalshi	67¢	$252	+9.0pp
Will the high temp in Chicago be <77° on Jun 25, 2026: 76° or below	Kalshi	2¢	$9,572	-9.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 68-69° on Jun 25, 2026: 68° to 69°	Kalshi	16¢	$7,184	+9.0pp
Will above 90000 jobs be added in November 2026: 90,000	Kalshi	39¢	$317	+8.0pp
Will above 70000 jobs be added in November 2026: 70,000	Kalshi	52¢	$287	+8.0pp
Will the high temp in NYC be 81-82° on Jun 25, 2026: 81° to 82°	Kalshi	57¢	$10,475	+8.0pp
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	Polymarket	17¢	$9,733	-7.1pp
Will above 80000 jobs be added in November 2026: 80,000	Kalshi	46¢	$296	+7.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 72-73° on Jun 25, 2026: 72° to 73°	Kalshi	30¢	$6,886	+7.0pp
Will above 60000 jobs be added in November 2026: 60,000	Kalshi	56¢	$364	+7.0pp
Will above 20000 jobs be added in November 2026: 20,000	Kalshi	75¢	$236	+7.0pp
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Polymarket	4¢	$98,045	-6.9pp
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Polymarket	95¢	$9,847	+5.2pp
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Polymarket	87¢	$9,984	+5.0pp
Will the high temp in LA be 74-75° on Jun 25, 2026: 74° to 75°	Kalshi	1¢	$10,538	-5.0pp
Will above 175000 jobs be added in June 2026: 175,000	Kalshi	14¢	$5,814	+4.0pp

Big price moves are the clearest sign the market is processing new information. Sometimes it's a news event, sometimes it's a weather forecast update, sometimes it's just the market catching up to data that was published days ago.

A +10pp move on a market that was 50/50 means someone (or the crowd) now thinks the event is 10 percentage points more likely than before. That's a meaningful shift in implied probability.