economy

National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatek

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-08-19 Volume$9,626 Open Interest$118,588
YES
31¢
Implied probability: 31.5%
NO
68¢
Implied probability: 68.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 31¢ · High 31¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
31¢
NO Price
68¢
Total Volume
$9,626
Open Interest
$118,588
Expiration
2026-08-19
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 31¢ means the market is pricing in a 31.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,626) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($118,588) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? $989,205
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? $982,037
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? 18¢ $977,937
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Iga Swiatek in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Iga Swiatek. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-08-19, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 31¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 68¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 31¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 31.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,626 in total traded volume and $118,588 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-12. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.