economy

Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-12-31 Volume$9,537 Open Interest$737
YES
40¢
Implied probability: 40.0%
NO
60¢
Implied probability: 60.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 40¢ · High 40¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
40¢
NO Price
60¢
Total Volume
$9,537
Open Interest
$737
Expiration
2026-12-31
Days Left
138
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price,

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 40¢ means the market is pricing in a 40.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,537) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($737) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price,

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 138 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 40¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 60¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 40¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 40.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,537 in total traded volume and $737 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-15. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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