Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rou
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 54¢ means the market is pricing in a 54.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($99,506) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($64,436) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1¢ | $97,141,078 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3¢ | $96,303,550 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 32¢ | $95,575,411 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve in favor of the host nation (Canada, Mexico, United States) that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rou
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-20, 14 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 54¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 46¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 54¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 54.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $99,506 in total traded volume and $64,436 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.