politics

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during King Charles visit?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-04-30 Volume$9,999 Open Interest$314
YES
Implied probability: 7.0%
NO
92¢
Implied probability: 93.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 3¢ · High 7¢ · Δ +3.4pp
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YES Price
NO Price
92¢
Total Volume
$9,999
Open Interest
$314
Expiration
2026-04-30
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

King Charles is scheduled to visit the White House from April 27 to April 30, 2026 (https://time.com/article/2026/04/01/king-charles-camilla-royal-state-visit-washington-america-trump/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring King Charles from April 27 through April 30, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 7.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,999) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($314) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

King Charles is scheduled to visit the White House from April 27 to April 30, 2026 (https://time.com/article/2026/04/01/king-charles-camilla-royal-state-visit-washington-america-trump/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring King Charles from April 27 through April 30, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-04-30. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 7¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 93¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 7¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 7.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,999 in total traded volume and $314 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-30. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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