Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?
What resolves this contract
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not a
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 87¢ means the market is pricing in a 87.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,695) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,737) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,999,187 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1¢ | $9,734,530 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 7¢ | $9,558,570 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks in New York on August 14, 2026. (https://x.com/bern_hogan/status/2086883175402184730). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks in New York on August 14, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not a
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-14, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 87¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 12¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 87¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 87.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,695 in total traded volume and $1,737 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.