economy

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on September 30, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-30 Volume$9,620 Open Interest$608
YES
Implied probability: 6.0%
NO
94¢
Implied probability: 94.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 6¢ · High 12¢ · Δ -6.0pp
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YES Price
NO Price
94¢
Total Volume
$9,620
Open Interest
$608
Expiration
2026-09-30
Days Left
30
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finaliz

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 6.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,620) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($608) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will the S&P 500 be between 7675 and 7699.9999 on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,675 $75
Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,750 12¢ $63
Will the S&P 500 be between 7725 and 7749.9999 on Sep 4, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,725 12¢ $57
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finaliz

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 30 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 6¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 94¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 6¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 6.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,620 in total traded volume and $608 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-31. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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