economy

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-12-31 Volume$9,684 Open Interest$3,485
YES
37¢
Implied probability: 37.4%
NO
62¢
Implied probability: 62.6%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 37¢ · High 37¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
37¢
NO Price
62¢
Total Volume
$9,684
Open Interest
$3,485
Expiration
2026-12-31
Days Left
156
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 37¢ means the market is pricing in a 37.4% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,684) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,485) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Will the S&P 500 be between 7450 and 7474.9999 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,450 10¢ $4,430
Will the S&P 500 be between 7550 and 7574.9999 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,550 $4,358
Will the S&P 500 be between 7425 and 7449.9999 on Jul 31, 2026 at 4pm EDT: 7,425 $3,096
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If th

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 156 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 37¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 63¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 37¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 37.4% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,684 in total traded volume and $3,485 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-28. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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