Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutio
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 84¢ means the market is pricing in a 84.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,782) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($15,469) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 1¢ | $996,649 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | 3¢ | $981,900 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 6¢ | $977,923 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of Romania is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To count for resolution, the individual must be approved by the Romanian Parliament and officially sworn in as Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. Nomination for parliamentary consideration by the President will not count. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutio
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-31, 33 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 84¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 16¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 84¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 84.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,782 in total traded volume and $15,469 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.