Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the o
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 54¢ means the market is pricing in a 54.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,504) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($22,811) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,890,226 |
| Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? | 1¢ | $998,219 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 74¢ | $977,724 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "Low" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the o
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 223 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 54¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 45¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 54¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 54.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,504 in total traded volume and $22,811 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.