sports

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-01 Volume$9,534,068 Open Interest$511,446
YES
Implied probability: 4.5%
NO
95¢
Implied probability: 95.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 4¢ · High 4¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
NO Price
95¢
Total Volume
$9,534,068
Open Interest
$511,446
Expiration
2026-07-01
Days Left
68
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 4.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,534,068) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($511,446) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-01, 68 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 4¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 95¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 4¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 4.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,534,068 in total traded volume and $511,446 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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