economy

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2099-12-31 Volume$9,619 Open Interest$595
YES
94¢
Implied probability: 94.0%
NO
Implied probability: 6.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 94¢ · High 94¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
94¢
NO Price
Total Volume
$9,619
Open Interest
$595
Expiration
2099-12-31
Days Left
26888
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant da

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 94¢ means the market is pricing in a 94.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,619) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($595) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant da

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2099-12-31, 26888 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 94¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 6¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 94¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 94.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,619 in total traded volume and $595 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-05-20. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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