economy

Will Team Vitality Make a Roster Change before September?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2099-12-31 Volume$9,692 Open Interest$517
YES
Implied probability: 10.0%
NO
90¢
Implied probability: 90.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 9¢ · High 9¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
NO Price
90¢
Total Volume
$9,692
Open Interest
$517
Expiration
2099-12-31
Days Left
26803
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Vitality's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Vitality" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/9565/vitality#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: apEX, zywOo, flameZ, ropz, mezii. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 10.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,692) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($517) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Team Vitality's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Team Vitality" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/9565/vitality#tab-rosterBox) by August 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: apEX, zywOo, flameZ, ropz, mezii. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2099-12-31, 26803 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 9¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 90¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 9¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 10.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,692 in total traded volume and $517 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-08-13. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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