Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Senegal is eliminated. If Senegal wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Senegal is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Senegal based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resol
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 44¢ means the market is pricing in a 44.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,697) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,607) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 1¢ | $97,120,314 |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $983,487 |
| Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? | 1¢ | $98,817 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Senegal is eliminated. If Senegal wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Senegal is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Senegal based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resol
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-19, 23 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 44¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 55¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 44¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 44.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,697 in total traded volume and $2,607 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.