politics

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-05-07 Volume$9,632 Open Interest$9,707
YES
66¢
Implied probability: 66.5%
NO
33¢
Implied probability: 33.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 66¢ · High 66¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
66¢
NO Price
33¢
Total Volume
$9,632
Open Interest
$9,707
Expiration
2026-05-07
Days Left
17
About this market

What resolves this contract

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve ac

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 66¢ means the market is pricing in a 66.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,632) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($9,707) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve ac

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-05-07, 17 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 66¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 34¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 66¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 66.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,632 in total traded volume and $9,707 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-20. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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