Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
What resolves this contract
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 30¢ means the market is pricing in a 30.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,888) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($16,357) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 14¢ | $9,843,272 |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 1¢ | $999,259 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 5¢ | $994,837 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2099-12-31, 26892 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 30¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 70¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 30¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 30.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,888 in total traded volume and $16,357 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.